As organizations consider the impacts of an economic downturn, we’ve gathered resources to help you and shared strategies you can implement now.
Overall consumer risk scores have been on the rise over the last few years. However, in some products, we’ve seen both point-in-time and vintage delinquencies on the rise as well. Watch the webinar to see a detailed view of shifts in accounts and balances across risk tiers and understand ways to identify changes in consumer behaviors ahead of risk tier shifts. We also provide strategies for managing risk using trended credit data for account management.
The first sign most lenders receive of potential borrower trouble is a halt to payments, which is a lagging indicator of risk. This webinar reviews a historical economic event: the oil shock of 2014-2015, and explores the economic impact on Canadian provinces with heavy dependence on the oil industry, helping lenders understand the impact of sudden unemployment.
Lenders often hesitate before extending additional credit to a consumer currently delinquent on a trade as a way to manage loss exposure. Could providing additional liquidity to delinquent borrowers ever improve future performance, or will it always lead to a greater loss? We explore the impact to consumer balances, performance and time to charge off and outline viable strategies for lenders.
Lenders can prepare to mitigate risk and weather the storm of a recession, regardless of its severity. Watch the webinar to learn about forecasting deterioration in delinquency rates at the portfolio level, based on macroeconomic and portfolio metrics. We also explain a scenario planning methodology for developing tailored contingency strategies for different levels of performance degradation.
Traditionally, debts associated with basic livelihood dependencies, such as mortgages or auto loans, have been at the top of the credit payment hierarchy. During the Great Recession, the payment hierarchy changed — mortgages became subordinate to cards. We review shifts in the payment hierarchy across different economic cycles and discuss what lenders need to know during a downturn.
Many new lenders are poised to experience their first economic downturn and a potential deterioration in loan performance. Learn how we drew upon past market movements and economic events to simulate the survivability of the unsecured loan market in a downturn. We also discuss why stress testing is a valuable exercise for lenders across the consumer product spectrum.
Not all missed payments on existing debt signal a consumer is a higher risk. This webinar reveals the behavior traits of a struggling and essentially higher-risk consumer, as opposed to distracted payment behavior. In times of stress and downturn, it’s important for lenders to distinguish between these types of consumers and adjust their strategies appropriately.
Beginning mid-March, TransUnion began surveying and tracking the impact of COVID-19 on consumers’ finances and their ability to meet their obligations. Watch the webinar to learn the details of our findings, including which consumer groups have been most impacted financially and how those trends have shifted since stay-at-home guidelines were first enacted. We also examine which obligations consumers are prioritizing and the steps that consumers are taking to meet potential shortfalls.
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The dramatic reduction in economic activity from COVID-19 is impacting consumers, who are losing their jobs or suffering financially. Here are resources and solutions to help you serve your customers and mitigate risk in this uncertain time.
We are here to help you manage risk and serve your customers through any market conditions. To learn more about how TransUnion can help your organization, contact your sales rep or fill out the form below.
Growing job losses and reduced income will result in rapid changes to consumers’ financial situations.
Organizations need to quickly help consumers manage their credit health, as well as spot signs of financial distress and reach out early to consumers who may be struggling to offer deferment, forbearances or refinancing options.
Resources for you:
Consumers may look for revolving credit, mortgage refinance or HELOC products for additional liquidity. With social distancing in place, lenders need strong digital solutions to meet the needs of new and current customers.
Businesses will need to modernize their strategies for engaging and serving consumers.
Resources for you:
With more people using online services and fraudsters that take advantage of turbulent times, organizations should prepare for a rise in fraud, including new account, account takeover and synthetic identities.
Business should look for ways to reduce risk and ensure their fraud detection and prevention capabilities are ready.
Resources for you:
To track the rapid changes in consumer behavior and lender accommodations, we’re introducing a monthly summary of key credit metrics for the four major loan categories: credit card, auto finance, mortgage and unsecured personal loans. The Monthly Industry Snapshot will give lenders additional insight on consumer credit trends to help guide crisis response strategies.
We’re tracking the impact of COVID-19 on consumers’ ability to meet their debt obligations to help you understand your risk exposure
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