Buoyed by income and easing inflation concerns, consumers optimistic yet cautious about spending
In Q4 2024, over half (58%) of Americans reported they were extremely or very concerned about the current rate of inflation, significantly less than the 64% in Q4 2023. Inflation was a top three financial concern for 80% of consumers but moderated from 84% in Q2 2024. Despite that, prices continued to weigh on household budgets. Overall, price increases that were very concerning either held steady or fell since Q2: groceries fell to 80% from 84%, gasoline for cars down to 57% from 66%, and clothing down to 26% from 29%.
This quarter, 63% said their household finances were better or as planned, up from 60% in Q4 2023.Optimism about future finances appeared tied to income growth; 58% said they were optimistic, in line with the 53% of Americans who expected their incomes to increase over the next year.
Despite optimism, Americans were still cautious about spending. The top type of expected spending increase over the next three months respondents reported was on monthly bills like housing, utilities, insurance and credit cards at 37%. Continuing their conservative approach to spending, nearly twice as many consumers planned to reduce discretionary spending like dining out, travel and entertainment (41%) versus increase it (22%) in the next three months.
Millennials come into their own financially
At this point in 2024, Millennials were the only generation with a higher percentage (42%) who said their household finances were better than planned compared to worse than planned (31%). That’s actually the opposite of consumers overall: 38% reported worse than planned and 31% said better than planned.
Part of the strength of Millennial household finances resulted from income growth that exceeded other generations; 41% of Millennials said their incomes increased during the previous three months compared to just 29% across generations. Driven by stronger income growth, 45% of Millennials reported their household incomes were keeping up with inflation, significantly higher than the overall response of 35%.
Millennials also ranked highest among generations in spending; 24% said they increased their usage of available credit in the past three months compared to just 17% overall, and 34% said they’d increase spending in retail shopping, 30% in discretionary spending, and 31% for digital services in the next three months compared to 24%, 22% and 25%, respectively overall.
Most consumers planned to maintain or increase their holiday shopping
Over half (57%) of Americans planned to spend the same or more on holiday shopping this season compared to last year and 38% planned to spend less. Millennials and high-income earners led all generations and income groups for planning to spend more or the same as last year at 63% and 73%, respectively. They were also the cohort with the most who planned to spend more than $500 on holiday shopping; Millennials at 33% and high earners at 51% compared to 28% overall.